Thursday, September 14, 2023

Lee Projection From Ventusky...

 

 Based on the modeling our max wind gusts at the bunker have been estimated @43mph.

That's the gusts.  It looks like it's tracking further East than the models from the past few days.

 Trees and or tree limbs will probably be the only concern as we have had much higher gusts

over the past few years from storms. Both Nor'easters and thunderstorms that roll through.

Only time will tell.  Preps will be done tonight. Fuel, generator, chainsaw, cat food.

 



 


 

 


 

 

 

 

 

20 comments:

  1. "The Weather Channel, America's MOST Trusted news"...

    Well in truth that's a low bar. I just wish they'd stop their constant "Climate Change" propaganda. Maybe mention that some of our current batch of "Bad Weather" is from the recent underwater Hunga Tonga volcano eruption that literally tossed megatons of water vapor into the stratosphere. Seems massive amounts of high altitude water vapor is far worse than CO2 for "Heating the globe".

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    1. OMG!!! Some one else has seen it. Regardless of the idiot exclamation, I am a senior citizen, just thought it was funny. I recently found the NASA page showing the eruption and the analysis. The authors commented that the equivalent of 58,000 Olympic swimming pools were ejected into the stratosphere. I calculated that it is actually about 567,000,000 gallons of Hydrogen Oxide, which will eventually drop because it is heavier than CO2. Having experienced the greatest snowfall in a decade here in western Nevada and expecting another, one cannot but wonder about the B...S..t espoused by the climate NAZI's. Also look for the new way of reporting temperatures. The are using ground temp's not air temp's.

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  2. If the economists and weathermen swapped places the results would be the same. Last week these people told everyone living on the East Coast their lives were in danger…this week, as the storm tracks East and weakens, they are saying NE will get hammered. Of course, some will go to the fraidy room as they did with SARS Cov-2 and buy a garage full of TP to combat a cold virus. Preparations are one thing, running around like Chicken Little screaming “the sky is falling!” is moronic.

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  3. Good luck there bud. Hang on tight. Prayers incoming.

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  4. Did you name the middle kitty Durante in honor of Jimmy? Sure has the schnozz ;-)

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  5. I've been considering heading east to the beach to watch the "huge waves and large ocean swells" crashing on shore. High tide predicted +/-7:00AM for most of the coast north of Cape Cod. Could be interesting as that sorta coincides with peak wind.

    Nemo

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  6. yeah, I keep a good supply of cat food on hand too. we have about 10 or so feral cats outside and one inside cat.
    so, there is always about 4-5,20 pound bags of food for them here. and once it get below 40,they get a bit of wet food with the dry at night. started out with maybe 3-4 here when we first moved here. I told her to feed the outside cats to keep the mice and critters at bay. well, after a bunch of kittens a few years ago. we down to about 10, all of them are fixed. she found a program to get them fixed at 25 bucks per cat. SSI only goes so far ,you know.
    and so far, have not seen a mouse at all, unless you count all of the dead ones in the yard.
    already have all of the other preps on hand here. 2 generators, lots of firewood. food shelfs are stocked.
    figured a long time ago, that the dollar was losing value, so why keep them ? so, any spare cash goes into food, gas and propane. 2 years ago, the power went out for close to 3 days here. in winter. we stayed nice and warm in this house. cooked food on the wood stove, plenty of hot coffee too. last year was on the mild side, this year we may get hammered again. dave in pa.

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  7. Waisted a few minutes on abc network weather yesterday just for the entertainment value

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  8. Looks like the Hurricane center expects it to make landfall as a tropical storm. It's at about the latitude of Jacksonville as of 8am.

    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/090725.shtml?cone#contents

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  9. Northern Maine here…hopefully just some wind and rain but we are fully stocked…cat food, dog food, human food and lots of coffee.

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  10. having been thru a bunch here in central florifornia, the storm itself isn't always the worst part...it's usually the aftermath: traffic lights out & bobble-headed drivers/ local shortages/ stagnant heat & brutal humidity/ debris removal & repairs (if needed urgently)
    with that said, some good preps and patience is the key ....hold tight but don't let the hype ruin the mood

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  11. stay safe! on a side note, beautiful cats!

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  12. Hopefully the crew on Oak Island weathers everything ok....and everyone else too. Fortunately there aren't any governors along the east coast that Biden (and his puppetmasters) hate, so they probably won't target this one.

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  13. Lee maximum winds down to 85 mph, the convection is disappearing. My guess it will track more to the northeast and miss landfall.

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    1. Let's hope so. I don't need to deal with downed trees.

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  14. Irish - last time prepping for Idalia I found this information available at the Hurricane Center that nobody else was using. It shows the probability of 50 knot or 58 mph winds. Looks to me like it's all off the coast except for a small area in farthest east Maine.
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/205008.shtml?50wind072?#wcontents

    Most places show the chances of getting sustained tropical storm winds of 39mph, which is pretty much every summer afternoon around here, when the afternoon thunderstorms go through. I found the 58 mph chart much more useful.

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    1. Thanks SIG. I'll keep an eye on that link tomorrow.

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  15. Well, y'all coastal types be safe. I used to live within 500 yards of the coast in MD and down south of the border.a ways. Big wind and horizontal rains not fun time.

    Here in the Midwest have preps in motion for a bad winter, been far too long since we had real bad cold, ice and snow. My gut says we are due for it soon. Generator now ready, firewood (backup heat) is well stacked and adding some more food and other consumables to the stock in the basement.

    Stay safe out there.

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  16. A Cat 1 down here in Florida is a "Breeze for me " with the exception of trees! I got alot of them on my 2 little acres, Big Magnolias and Water Oaks etc! The good part is that they protect my house from the wind and all the other huge trees in my little rural area. However, of course when one wants to give up the ghost and go "SNAP CRACKLE POP" then I may have to Pay the piper. The West side of the Storm is the weaker winds side as it heads north. As a retired Coasty I been in a number of Hurricanes on shore and at sea. I would prefer dealing with it a sea cuz, the ship can get the hell out of the way, unless your looking for Blow boaters in the middle of the Caribbean! Now thats rough!

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