Wednesday, September 13, 2023

Hurricane Lee, and we watch the approach....

 

This VIA reader VOLCHEK <<

 Hurricane Lee is not a Cat5. Sustained winds at 10m above sea level are 75-85mph. What they are doing is using wind speeds at 1500m to 3000m altitude to justify it as Cat 5, and even then the winds at that altitude are barely breaking Cat3. Since the Hurricane season thus far has been a nothingburger they are hyping every storm.
Idalia was not a Cat3 at sea level. It was barely a Cat1 hurricane. Several residents in the Big Bend have been documenting the damage and it's consistent with Cat1 winds at sea level. Mainly downed trees, some roof damage, and storm surge damage to coastal roads. Even the storm surge was less than expected because Idalia made land fall in low tide. This is all hyped up to support the sham narrative that globull warming is making monster storms when there is ZERO evidence to support it.
Also, for real-time weather data, check ventusky.com. Zoom in on Lee and select wind speed at 10m. Also change it to 5000m and 9000m and zoom out to see the upper level jet streams. These are good predictors of hurricane paths.
I live on the gulf coast of Florida so hurricane preps are paramount, but I also don't want to skedaddle for no reason. Thus far Ventusky has been 100% on target and a huge help to make good decisions regarding hurricanes and if NOAA and the various weather organizations have been truthful in their reporting.

 

Irish adds... Thanks Volchek, It will be an interesting Saturday here at the bunker in southern NH. 

I'll be around but lots to do between work and prepping for a "just in case in staggers a bit more westward scenario" Better to be ready than caught off guard.

 The coastal shoreline will have issues and the storm is gonna pile water right into Cape Cod Bay...

 Stay safe....

Still photo below VIA Ventusky <<<<<  click for live map and projections.

Another Link in the comments was for TROPICAL TIDBITS <<<

 I also follow this guy on F-book << 












16 comments:

  1. ".....the storm is gonna pile water right into Cape Cod Bay..."
    Good. Maybe it will drown P-Town and Hyannis off the map.
    Make CAPE Cod into ISLAND Cod.

    President Elect B Woodman

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  2. If they don't up the hurricane category, their global warning effect on severe weather theory goes bye-bye.

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  3. I don't doubt in the least their information is phony in this time period. All of their other information has been the same.

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  4. The Hurricane Center does not list the storm as even a major hurricane, much class 3 or 5. It was briefly up to cat 5 several days ago, but that did not last long as it moved north. They don't show it very far north either. At the 11Am fix this morning it was at about the same latitude as Miami.

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  5. 'Zoom in on Lee'. Lee what? Lee Florida? Why do we care about Lee, Florida? Oh, somebody's grandmother probably lives there. Only after I zoomed out a ways did I realize there was a storm named Lee. Good morning to you too. I'm on my first cup of coffee. Cut me some slack. Ventusky is amazing.

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  6. Lee was category 5 for a few hours (12?) the day that got posted. It has been 2 or 3 ever since. Everyone was hyping the storm "explosively intensifying" from Cat 3 to 5 in one day. Did anyone mention it "explosively weakened" from cat 5 to 3 the next day?

    Whether or not the NWS is hyping wind speeds, I'm not sure, but bear in mind that out in the ocean around a storm producing 40 to 50 foot seas, no aircraft is measuring winds 10m above the surface because they don't know where the surface is. If a plane tried to fly at 10 meters, they'd be underwater on the second wave. They're flying at thousands of feet and applying some sort of mathematical model to project the winds at lower altitudes.

    The 11AM forecast today shows it just barely cat 3 (115 winds with the bottom of 3 at 111 mph) and then cat 2 or below until landfall. At landfall, they show it as extra-tropical or post-tropical storm, which I'm pretty sure you folks up there call a nor'easter. Correct me if I'm wrong.

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  7. Since 2008 (at least), it's become very difficult to trust anything (and I do mean anything in any field) coming out of our government's mouth.

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  8. There aren't many sea buoys in the path, so the actual wind is only an estimation. Of course, the weather dweebs will say it has bazillion mile per hour winds and will blow away half of Maine.

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  9. Agreed about Idalia, by the time it made it to San Diego it might have been a tropical storm. My sister in LA got 5 inches of rain and maybe 20mph winds.

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  10. Aircraft measure surface wind data (among other things) by dropping sensor packages called dropsondes. If you're close enough the telemetry is capturable and decodable if you're into such things.

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  11. As with most other areas, from environment (go evs) to "climate" to flus - they are selling FEAR. Don't Buy It!

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  12. As the old saying goes, 'Prepare for the worst, hope for the best'.

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  13. Seems like even a liar would tamp down their claims because the fact that they lied Will be made obvious by the lack of damage. What happens when the people just stop listening to their warnings?
    The news says cat 5,,so get ready for Maybe a 3? What good are they if they are going to exaggerate? Don't those people also have to go out in public? If I spent a buncha time and money getting ready for a Really big storm and it was a a big nothing, I'd have a word with that jakkass in line at the grocery store.

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  14. Yup

    “It was never a cat 5” - Joe Bastardi
    https://www.weatherbell.com/video/saturday-summary-639?full

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  15. I rode out many a hurricane and Nor'easter back in the 60's, including one that spiraled around and hit us 3 times! Good Luck, friends. Prepare for the worst, use common sense, and be ready to help your neighbors afterwards.

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